Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Market Week due to Rupee weekness and global Selloff

After snapping a five-day losing streak in the previous trading session, the Indian markets on Wednesday resumed their fall. The drop was quite sharp amid no sign of resolution to the Greek political crisis, which has triggering a global sell off. Asian stock indices finished sharply lower, as the undertone continued to be shaky amid concerns that political instability in Greece could lead to fresh economic turmoil in the debt-stricken eurozone nation. Fears are also mounting that Greece may eventually have to leave the currency bloc, further denting the prospects for global economic growth. European stock indices too extended losses today on mounting worries about a possible exit from the euro currency bloc. The FTSE index in the UK was down 1%, while the DAX index in Germany slipped 0.7%. The CAC index in France managed to rebound and was trading slightly higher. The Dow industrials ended near a four-month-low on Tuesday as investors continue to shun risky assets and are instead taking a refuge in the US dollar and treasuries. The BSE Sensex ended at 16,030, losing by 1.8% or 298 points. It had earlier touched a day’s high of 16,132 and a day’s low of 15,974. It opened at 16,132. The NSE Nifty settled at 4858, down by 84 points or 1.7%. It touched a day’s low of 4,837 and day’s high of 4,882. Top losers on the Sensex and the Nifty were Tata Motors, Tata Steel, SAIL, R Infra, JP Associates, Wipro, Jindal Steel, BHEL, Hindalco Inds, PNB, HDFC, DLF, ICICI Bank, Sun Pharma, Infosys, Maruti Suzuki, Coal India, Bharti Airtel, NTPC and SBI. Notable gainers were few on both the indices. They were BPCL, Power Grid Corp, Cairn India, Bajaj Auto, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Sterlite Inds. The market breadth was negative on BSE, with 1733 stocks declining and 983 stocks rising. The sectoral indices were a sea of red today with the Metals index declining the most, down 2.7%. Auto, Consumer Durables, Capital Goods, Bankex, Power, PSU, Teck and IT were the other notable laggards among the sectors. The broader markets also tumbled with the BSE Mid-Cap index falling 0.8% and the BSE Small-Cap index ending down 1.1%. The INDIA VIX on the NSE slipped by 6.4% to close at 23.71. It hit days high of 24.54. It hit a low of 22.28. On the domestic front, the Indian Rupee slumped to a new record low of 54.46 before recovering marginally. A suspected intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) earlier in the session didn't seem to have any impact on the Rupee. The rupee is down 9% since March, the biggest fall among major Asian currencies. But, traders are still building short positions, betting that the rupee will fall to a record low of 56 per dollar this year. "The ‘risk-off’ trade continues unabated amid growing concerns about the political impasse in Greece. The peripheral European nation’s future in the euro currency bloc is in doubt as all efforts to form a new government have failed. Fresh Greek election is imminent, raising fears of a disorderly exit from the eurozone and a broader meltdown. India is facing its own set of macro-economic problems, dragging down the rupee and exacerbating the selling by FIIs. Though valuations may be compelling, market players are unlikely to fall for it just yet. Searching for a bottom is futile. Stick to a defensive portfolio and avoid any adventures," says Amar Ambani, Head of Research, IIFL. Cairn India, Bank of Baroda and Godrej Consumer advanced after they were added in the MSCI India index while Suzlon fell as it was removed from the widely tracked index. Corporation Bank, Page Industries, IL&FS Transportation, Indiabulls Power, MOIL, Polaris Financial and Suzlon have been added in MSCI India Small-cap index while 31 stocks, including Videocon Industries, Shree Cement and SKS Microfinance, have been deleted.


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Thursday, May 10, 2012

Commodity Update

MCX SILVERM JUNE TRADES WEAK BELOW 54300 WITH RES ABV 54580 AND CLD TEST 53900-53600-53500..

MCX GOLDM JUNE WEAK BELOW 28450 RES AVC 28580 AND CLD TEST 28350-28280

Sell Copper Jun at 435.3 – 435.6 SL above 438.3 T1 433 T2 431.
Sell NickelM May between 921 – 923 SL above 930 T1 912 T2 907

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The dollar-priced gold in global markets, which normally set price trend on the domestic front here, fell 1.1 per cent to $1,587.28 an ounce, the lowest since January 3 and silver by 1.8 per cent to $28.92 an ounce, the cheapest since January 9.

In addition, domestic demand dried up due to off-marriage season and retailers refrained from buying at such costly levels further dampened the sentiment.

On the domestic front, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 per cent purity suffered a setback of Rs 475 each to Rs 28,840 and Rs 28,700 per 10 gm. The metal has plunged Rs 435 in last three sessions. Sovereign followed suit and declined by Rs 50 to Rs 23,700 per piece of eight gram.

Similarly, silver ready nosedived by Rs 700 to Rs 54,300 per kg and weekly-based delivery by Rs 625 to Rs 54,680 per kg, in continuation to a fall of Rs 1,250 in two days.

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Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Sell INFY @ 2349, SL 2363, Trgt 2347/2341/2337/2309
Buy TITAN @244-46, SL 242, Trgt 247.15/248.85/251/254
Sell TTKPRESTIG @ 3078, SL 3112, Trgt 3071/3063/3047/3021


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Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Online Trading Tips for Today:

 Buy ARVIND 95 CE @ 2.25-2.50, SL 1.25, Trgt 3.15/ 3.95/ 5.05/6.50
Buy HINDLEVER 420 PE @4.90, SL 2.15, Trgt 5.65/7.05/8.50/10
Buy SESAGOA 170 PE @4.50, SL 2.15, Trgt 5.25/6.05/7.25/9
Sell RELIANCE Fut @693-695, SL 705.85, Trgt 690.85/688.25/683.85/675
Buy YESBANK fut @ 332.50, SL 329, Trgt 333.25/335/337/341.25 

 Sell COPPER @434.40, SL 436.85, Trgt 433.85/432.05/430/428

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Monday, May 7, 2012

Free Calls for Today:

Sell CENTRALBK @ 86.95. SL 88.95, Trgt 85.25/84.15/81.95/77.85
Sell CAIRN @ 322.85, SL326.50, Trgt 321/ 319/317.85/312.25
Sell RELIANCE @ 701.40, SL 712, Trgt 698/695.25/689/677


Buy CRUDE @ 5185, SL 5171, Trgt 5193/5201/5213/5237

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Free MCX Positions for Today:

 Buy NICKEL May @ 942.40, SL 935.85, Trgt 943.85/ 945/948.15/952
Sell Gold Jun @ 29053, SL 29112, Trgt 29021/28991/28912/28811
Sell SILVER Jul @ 56171, SL 56275, Trgt 56099/56003/55905/55887

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